Retirement remains the number-one concern among working Americans, and the number-one question is, “How much money will I need to retire?”
Unfortunately, there’s no easy answer, but that shouldn’t be surprising, since there are many variables to consider before you find that number. First among them is how much your lifestyle in retirement is going to cost. Other variables you’ll have to pin down include what your health will be like, how much more expensive things will be, what your tax rate will be, and so forth.
The best way to go about determining those variables and answering the “How much do I need to retire?” question is to work with a professional to create the retirement chapter of a comprehensive financial plan. The truth is, however, that even after your plan is done, your number will always be a moving target as conditions in the economy, financial markets, and your life change. Uncertainly is greatest the farther away from retirement you are; but once you reach retirement, even the best of plans needs to be revisited about once a year.
While we obviously can’t address your individual case here, we can review the steps involved in preparing a personalized retirement plan:
Step 1: Identify your retirement goals. How much will the retirement lifestyle you want cost? When do you want to retire? At this point, it’s okay to dream. Give the numbers a run – the financial planning process usually tosses out unrealistic expectations fairly quickly.
Choosing when to retire is the easy part – and the variable that’s easiest to change if you’re not being realistic. When it comes to pricing your future lifestyle, though, it’s best to base it on your current lifestyle. If you don’t know what that costs, you need to create a budget that line-by-line accounts for monthly expenses in all categories. Multiply those monthly expenses by 12, and take that number as a good benchmark for how much you’ll need to spend in retirement.
Then you can adjust that number up or down – down for expenses you may no longer have, like mortgage payments or the cost of commuting to work; or up for things you’d like to have or do, like travel more or maintain a vacation home. A rule of thumb that works for many for planning purposes is 70% to 80% of your current household income.
Step 2: Identify your known income streams. Start with a projection for Social Security. Don’t know what it is? Go to the SSA’s website (ssa.gov.) and use their “Retirement Estimator” to estimate your monthly check for yourself and partner, then annualize that number. Next, add any annual cash streams you might get, such as from a pension plan, rents, royalties, or trust funds.
Step 3: Calculate your income gap. Subtract your combined retirement income stream total (Step 2) from your annual retirement lifestyle cost (Step 1). The difference is how much you have to make up with withdrawals from your nest egg: taxable savings and investments, IRAs, and annuities.
Step 4: Calculate the nest egg you’ll need. Divide any negative income gap by 4%. The result gives you a rough idea of how much in personal liquid assets, in today’s dollars, you need to accumulate in order to afford to retire. Why divide by 4%? Because that’s the approximate rate of annual withdrawal you should take from your retirement savings to make your money last for as long as you live.
Determining how much you need to accumulate in savings is just the first step in drawing up a retirement plan. The next step is to compare that to how much you’ve already accumulated and determine what you need to do to accumulate the rest. It could mean adjusting how much you save per year, how you invest your money, or changing the year you retire.
If you’re uncertain about how much you need to retire or whether you can reach that amount, you owe it to yourself to create or revisit your retirement plan. Please call if you’d like to discuss this in more detail.
Copyright © Integrated Concepts 2012. Some articles in this newsletter were prepared by Integrated Concepts, a separate, nonaffiliated business entity. This newsletter intends to offer factual and up-to-date information on the subjects discussed, but should not be regarded as a complete analysis of these subjects. The appropriate professional advisers should be consulted before implementing any options presented. No party assumes liability for any loss or damage resulting from errors or omissions or reliance on or use of this material.


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